Wasatch Mountains
Satellite Environmental Monitoring

Wasatch Watch

Monthly satellite-based vegetation and drought reports for the Wasatch Front: powered by Landsat 8 imagery and original research methodology.

12+ Years of satellite data analyzed
155 Monthly composites processed
5.5 sqkm Spatial resolution per pixel

February 2026

Our most recent monthly report analyzing vegetation dynamics, seasonal anomalies, and drought signals across the Wasatch Front.

February 2026 NDVI Anomaly Map
Monthly Report ยท Issue 03

February 2026 โ€” Snow Drought Signal

February 2026 showed a clear NDVI decrease from January 2026, particularly in the arid areas, driven by drought and stressed vegetation, while the mountainous areas of the Wasatch Front exposed vegetation due to lack of snow rather than actual new plant growth. Additionally, this February was anomalously vegetated compared to historical Februaries, suggesting a possible early green-up

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What We Measure

Each monthly report combines multiple satellite-derived indices to build a complete picture of vegetation and drought conditions across the Wasatch Front.

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NDVI โ€” Normalized Difference Vegetation Index

Measures the relative greenness of an area using Landsat 8 red and near-infrared bands. Useful for tracking seasonal vegetation cycles and long-term trends, with important caveats around snow cover and dormancy interpretation.

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Seasonal Anomaly Analysis

Each month is compared against its historical average from the 2013โ€“2026 Landsat archive using z-score normalization, isolating true anomalies from expected seasonal variation.

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Month-Over-Month; Year-Over-Year

Each month is compared to the previous month and to the same month in the previous year, also utilizing the 2013-2026 Landsat 8 archive. This allows us to build a clear picture of how NDVI changes over different months and years.

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Winter Dormancy Index

A novel metric tracking cumulative winter severity using z-scored NDVI values below a dormancy threshold. Allows direct comparison of winter intensity across years.

The Wasatch Front Since 2013

Beyond monthly snapshots, Wasatch Watch tracks multi-year vegetation and drought trends using the full Landsat 8 archive from March 2013 to present. Key findings from the long-term record include an overall upward trend in summer vegetation, increasing drought stress signals in anomaly-adjusted indices, and the 2025โ€“26 winter tracking as anomalously snow-poor relative to the historical record.

NDVI Trends 2013โ€“2026 Long-Term Record
NDVI Trends 2013-2026
Monthly NDVI means ยท Wasatch Front bounding region ยท March 2013 โ€“ February 2026
Key Finding

The 2025โ€“26 winter dormancy signal is among the weakest in the 13-year record, consistent with documented snow drought conditions across northern Utah. This signal is visible in both raw NDVI and anomaly-adjusted indices.

Methodological Note

While the winter dormancy signal appears to be consistent with snowpack and relative performance of our winter seasons, it has not been fully validated against snowpack data yet. This is something we are working on. However, for now, the "dormancy threshold" is arbitrarily assigned.

About the Researcher

Scott Vars

Salt Lake City, Utah

Wasatch Watch is an independent environmental monitoring project founded and operated by Scott Vars. The platform grew out of multi-year science fair research comparing satellite vegetation indices for drought detection in the Wasatch Front. The underlying research was recognized at the Utah Science and Engineering Fair and qualified for the GENIUS Olympiad international science competition.

All data collection, analysis, visualization, and writing is conducted independently using Google Earth Engine, Python, and the USGS Landsat 8 archive.

USEF 2026 Grand Prize GENIUS Olympiad Qualifier NASA Earth Systems Science Award Google Earth Engine Landsat 8 ยท MODIS ยท GOSIF

Follow the Wasatch Front Month by Month

New reports published monthly. View the full archive or explore the underlying research data.

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